Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Yurov wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.7% vs Frederic 46.8% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 79.1%
Defensive zone
Yurov 78.4%
Neutral zone
Yurov 78.4%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Yurov
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Yurov
Frederic
Last 6: Yurov 1-5 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
2
Yurov
Frederic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Yurov
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
2
Yurov
Frederic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (628)
46.3% (909)
-6.5%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
63.3% (30)
-35.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
35.5% (31)
-10.5%
On power play, Frederic has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Yurov is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Yurov shoots left. Frederic is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Yurov
Frederic
Home
43.1% (332)
47.6% (485)
Away
35.4% (322)
45.4% (485)
By Period
Yurov
Frederic
P1
37.3%
41.9%
P2
38.9%
48.0%
P3
41.9%
49.8%
Final 5 min
40.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.3%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |