Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Yurov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Yurov wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 41.1% vs Johnston 48.1% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 71.6%
Defensive zone
Johnston 75.4%
Neutral zone
Johnston 79.4%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Yurov
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Yurov
Johnston
Last 6: Yurov 4-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Yurov
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
1
0
Yurov
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Yurov
2
1
Yurov
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (491)
47.2% (458)
-7.5%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
50.9% (55)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
51.6% (31)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Yurov is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Yurov shoots left. Johnston is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Yurov
Johnston
Home
42.2% (251)
47.7% (243)
Away
36.6% (262)
47.8% (301)
By Period
Yurov
Johnston
P1
35.8%
48.0%
P2
37.3%
48.2%
P3
45.2%
48.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
36.0%▬
37.0%
39.4%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |