Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Regan 48.0% vs Hayes 47.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Regan 55.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 57.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
O'Regan
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
O'Regan
Hayes
Last 6: O'Regan 2-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
O'Regan
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Regan
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Regan
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Regan
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (167)
47.6% (6,698)
-2.1%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
51.7% (702)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
45.4% (696)
-12.1%
On power play, O'Regan has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. O'Regan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (114).
O'Regan shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,970).
Home / Away
O'Regan
Hayes
Home
52.7% (112)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
37.7% (69)
47.4% (4,114)
By Period
O'Regan
Hayes
P1
42.2%
47.5%
P2
50.9%
47.7%
P3
48.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
41.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Regan
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.0%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Danny O'Regan |