Danny O'Regan vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Regan wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Regan 48.0% vs McCarron 52.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Regan 87.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 50.1%
Neutral zone
O'Regan 64.9%
Result
Danny O'Regan favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
O'Regan
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
O'Regan
McCarron
Last 6: O'Regan 1-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
O'Regan
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
3
O'Regan
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Regan
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (167)
53.3% (2,926)
-7.8%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
45.3% (86)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.1% (469)
-16.8%
On power play, O'Regan has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. O'Regan is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
O'Regan shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
O'Regan
McCarron
Home
52.7% (112)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
37.7% (69)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
O'Regan
McCarron
P1
42.2%
53.8%
P2
50.9%
52.3%
P3
48.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
41.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Regan
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.0%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:48 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Danny O'Regan |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |