Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Regan 48.0% vs Zacha 49.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Regan 69.3%
Defensive zone
O'Regan 64.2%
Neutral zone
O'Regan 65.4%
Result
Danny O'Regan favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
O'Regan
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
O'Regan
Zacha
Last 5: O'Regan 1-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
O'Regan
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Regan
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
O'Regan
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Regan
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (167)
48.9% (5,156)
-3.4%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
55.7% (813)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
42.2% (557)
-8.9%
On power play, O'Regan has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. O'Regan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (114).
O'Regan shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Home / Away
O'Regan
Zacha
Home
52.7% (112)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
37.7% (69)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
O'Regan
Zacha
P1
42.2%
49.9%
P2
50.9%
49.2%
P3
48.3%
48.2%
Final 5 min
41.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Regan
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.0%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Danny O'Regan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |