Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Roy 47.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 66.0%
Defensive zone
Helm 67.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.2%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Helm
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Helm
Roy
Last 8: Helm 4-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Helm
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Helm
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
46.4% (3,031)
+4.7%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
53.6% (560)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
46.8% (267)
+1.2%
On even strength, Helm has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Home / Away
Helm
Roy
Home
51.8% (1,800)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
Helm
Roy
P1
49.5%
47.6%
P2
52.8%
46.2%
P3
49.7%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
43.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Darren Helm |