Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Helm wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toninato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 46.6% vs Toninato 50.0% (-8.1%)
Offensive zone
Toninato 55.0%
Defensive zone
Helm 81.1%
Neutral zone
Toninato 51.5%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Helm
Toninato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Toninato
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
52.9% (17)
-13.6%
On even strength, Toninato has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toninato shoots left. Helm is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Helm shoots left. Toninato is 62.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Helm
Toninato
Home
35.1% (37)
0.0% (1)
Away
48.6% (37)
52.9% (17)
By Period
Helm
Toninato
P1
17.6%
25.0%
P2
40.0%
40.0%
P3
59.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
41.9%
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
50.0%