Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.6%). Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 50.7% vs Staal 50.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 68.9%
Defensive zone
Helm 62.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Helm
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Helm
Staal
Last 10: Helm 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Helm
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
4
0
Helm
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Helm
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (2,790)
50.5% (10,347)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.7% (148)
53.5% (2,023)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (719)
44.2% (781)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Helm shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Helm
Staal
Home
51.8% (1,800)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
49.7% (1,877)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Helm
Staal
P1
49.5%
50.0%
P2
52.8%
51.1%
P3
49.7%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1 | 14:42 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 17:15 | Offensive | Darren Helm |