Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Powe wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Powe 49.3% vs Spezza 54.7% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 60.6%
Defensive zone
Powe 70.8%
Neutral zone
Powe 60.6%
Result
Darroll Powe favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Powe
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Powe
Spezza
Last 7: Powe 3-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
3
Powe
Spezza
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Powe
2
0
Powe
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Powe
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Powe
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (271)
54.4% (7,990)
-3.8%
Power Play
87.5% (8)
56.8% (1,726)
+30.7%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
52.7% (643)
-15.6%
On power play, Powe has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Powe is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Powe shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Powe
Spezza
Home
50.7% (148)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
48.0% (196)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Powe
Spezza
P1
47.6%
55.7%
P2
48.4%
54.4%
P3
50.4%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
45.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Powe
56.0%▲
48.0%
49.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2011 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Darroll Powe |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Darroll Powe |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Darroll Powe |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |