Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Thornton 54.3% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyce 66.6%
Defensive zone
Boyce 79.8%
Neutral zone
Boyce 71.9%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Boyce
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Boyce
Thornton
Last 8: Boyce 2-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Boyce
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boyce
Thornton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Boyce
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
53.5% (6,640)
-5.7%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
57.2% (1,387)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
56.7% (427)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Boyce is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Boyce shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Boyce
Thornton
Home
52.2% (322)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
43.0% (298)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Boyce
Thornton
P1
49.8%
55.0%
P2
48.6%
53.3%
P3
44.6%
54.4%
OT
50.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |