Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 48.1% vs Lorentz 48.5% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 52.1%
Defensive zone
Boyce 52.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 51.9%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Boyce
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
48.9% (1,125)
-1.1%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
50.0% (26)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
41.8% (91)
+3.0%
On power play, Lorentz has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Boyce is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Boyce shoots left. Lorentz is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Boyce
Lorentz
Home
52.2% (322)
50.6% (609)
Away
43.0% (298)
46.3% (633)
By Period
Boyce
Lorentz
P1
49.8%
53.0%
P2
48.6%
46.7%
P3
44.6%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%