Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Stoll 55.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 31-28 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 59.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 52.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 54.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Backes
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
31
(59 meetings)
28
31
Backes
Stoll
Last 10: Backes 4-6 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
14
6
Backes
Stoll
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
8
13
Backes
Stoll
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
6
12
Backes
Stoll
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
56.0% (4,886)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
56.5% (496)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
50.7% (1,087)
-3.3%
On power play, Stoll has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Stoll is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Backes
Stoll
Home
50.6% (3,936)
57.2% (3,285)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
53.0% (3,218)
By Period
Backes
Stoll
P1
50.1%
54.2%
P2
51.5%
55.8%
P3
50.8%
55.3%
OT
42.9%
52.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | David Backes |