David Backes vs Lauri Korpikoski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Korpikoski 40.9% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 55.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 79.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 70.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Backes
Korpikoski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Backes
Korpikoski
Last 7: Backes 4-3 Korpikoski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Korpikoski
0
1
Backes
Korpikoski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Korpikoski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Korpikoski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Korpikoski
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
39.3% (323)
+11.8%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
38.5% (52)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
37.7% (61)
+9.7%
On power play, Backes has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Korpikoski shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Korpikoski is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Backes
Korpikoski
Home
50.6% (3,936)
39.7% (232)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
37.9% (206)
By Period
Backes
Korpikoski
P1
50.1%
35.5%
P2
51.5%
39.3%
P3
50.8%
43.5%
OT
42.9%
16.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Korpikoski
40.0%▲
32.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 07:57 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 03:46 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Lauri Korpikoski |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Lauri Korpikoski |