Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Strome 44.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 69.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 58.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 61.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Backes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Backes
Strome
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
2
Backes
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Backes
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
44.2% (6,887)
+6.9%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
49.2% (855)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
41.5% (410)
+5.9%
On even strength, Backes has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Backes
Strome
Home
50.6% (3,936)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Backes
Strome
P1
50.1%
43.9%
P2
51.5%
45.4%
P3
50.8%
44.4%
OT
42.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |