Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Clarkson wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Clarkson 40.8% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-19.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Clarkson 90.7%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 95.1%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 66.8%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Clarkson
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Clarkson
Gaustad
Last 6: Clarkson 3-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Clarkson
2
0
Clarkson
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Clarkson
Gaustad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Clarkson
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Clarkson
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (248)
58.2% (4,334)
-21.5%
Power Play
41.4% (169)
65.4% (188)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
54.8% (1,290)
+45.2%
On penalty kill, Clarkson has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Clarkson is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Clarkson shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Clarkson
Gaustad
Home
40.0% (190)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
37.6% (229)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Clarkson
Gaustad
P1
33.6%
58.2%
P2
37.1%
56.4%
P3
45.7%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
35.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Clarkson
28.0%▼
35.5%
38.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | David Clarkson |