David Gustafsson vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Gustafsson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Gustafsson wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 49.5% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gustafsson 54.9%
Defensive zone
Gustafsson 78.8%
Neutral zone
Gustafsson 80.0%
Result
David Gustafsson favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Gustafsson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Gustafsson
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
1
0
Gustafsson
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
1
0
Gustafsson
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (182)
44.7% (1,053)
+6.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
36.8% (95)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
65.0% (20)
-31.7%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Gustafsson is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Gustafsson shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
MacKinnon
Home
54.2% (96)
49.4% (553)
Away
45.1% (113)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Gustafsson
MacKinnon
P1
58.5%
45.3%
P2
39.5%
42.7%
P3
51.5%
45.1%
Final 5 min
58.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
49.3%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |