Scouting Report
David Kampf holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kampf shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Kampf 52.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 84.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 66.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
McDavid
Kampf
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McDavid
Kampf
Last 6: McDavid 1-5 Kampf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Kampf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
0
2
McDavid
Kampf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kampf
0
2
McDavid
Kampf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kampf
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
54.2% (450)
-6.5%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
25.0% (8)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
46.9% (81)
+2.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kampf shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Kampf is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kampf
Home
50.0% (412)
57.3% (262)
Away
45.7% (394)
48.4% (277)
By Period
McDavid
Kampf
P1
48.0%
52.4%
P2
48.5%
54.7%
P3
47.1%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | David Kampf |