Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.4%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 52.3% vs Larkin 52.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 68.0%
Defensive zone
Kampf 65.0%
Neutral zone
Kampf 50.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Kampf
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Kampf
Larkin
Last 10: Kampf 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
5
Kampf
Larkin
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kampf
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
3
Kampf
Larkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (450)
51.1% (915)
+3.1%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
59.4% (261)
-34.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
48.2% (168)
-1.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kampf is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Kampf shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Kampf
Larkin
Home
57.3% (262)
51.7% (686)
Away
48.4% (277)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Kampf
Larkin
P1
52.4%
52.5%
P2
54.7%
52.7%
P3
49.4%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.7%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |