Scouting Report
David Kampf holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Kampf wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 52.3% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 76.2%
Defensive zone
Kampf 84.4%
Neutral zone
Kampf 61.1%
Result
David Kampf favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Kampf
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kampf
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Kampf
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
2
0
Kampf
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kampf
1
0
Kampf
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (450)
49.7% (1,038)
+4.5%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
63.7% (157)
-38.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
34.4% (32)
+12.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kampf is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Kampf shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Kampf
MacKinnon
Home
57.3% (262)
53.1% (618)
Away
48.4% (277)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Kampf
MacKinnon
P1
52.4%
49.3%
P2
54.7%
53.0%
P3
49.4%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.7%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | David Kampf |