Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 47.7% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 72.9%
Defensive zone
Krejci 71.7%
Neutral zone
Krejci 73.9%
Result
David Krejci favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Krejci
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Krejci
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Krejci
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Krejci
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (669)
52.3% (560)
-5.1%
Power Play
53.7% (54)
57.5% (113)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
62.5% (16)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Krejci is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Krejci shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Krejci
Pavelski
Home
52.0% (381)
54.2% (360)
Away
42.6% (359)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Krejci
Pavelski
P1
47.2%
54.5%
P2
43.7%
56.7%
P3
51.9%
50.8%
OT
40.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |