Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 95.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 58.9%
Neutral zone
Krejci 76.3%
Result
David Krejci favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Krejci
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Krejci
Kastelic
Last 5: Krejci 0-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Krejci
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
4
Krejci
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
57.0% (1,635)
-6.4%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
80.0% (25)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
53.8% (279)
-5.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Krejci is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,561).
Krejci shoots right. Kastelic is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Krejci
Kastelic
Home
53.1% (5,660)
58.7% (904)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Krejci
Kastelic
P1
50.7%
58.6%
P2
51.8%
56.5%
P3
50.2%
55.6%
OT
53.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.8%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |