Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Perron on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Perron wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 40.5% vs Monahan 51.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Perron 75.4%
Defensive zone
Monahan 55.0%
Neutral zone
Perron 53.6%
Result
David Perron favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Perron
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Perron
Monahan
Last 10: Perron 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perron
3
2
Perron
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
5
Perron
Monahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Perron
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (400)
51.1% (11,407)
-13.8%
Power Play
44.5% (110)
53.6% (2,582)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
45.9% (772)
-12.6%
On even strength, Monahan has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Perron is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Perron shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Perron
Monahan
Home
42.4% (271)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
34.7% (251)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Perron
Monahan
P1
42.2%
51.0%
P2
34.1%
51.7%
P3
39.8%
51.0%
OT
38.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
42.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
38.7%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | David Perron |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | David Perron |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | David Perron |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | David Perron |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | David Perron |