Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.7% vs 38.9%). Perron wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 40.5% vs Zegras 39.5% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Perron 59.9%
Defensive zone
Perron 60.1%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.3%
Result
David Perron favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Perron
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (400)
39.0% (1,703)
-1.7%
Power Play
44.5% (110)
38.5% (148)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
25.0% (8)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Perron has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Perron is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Perron shoots right. Zegras is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Perron
Zegras
Home
42.4% (271)
40.5% (908)
Away
34.7% (251)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Perron
Zegras
P1
42.2%
40.0%
P2
34.1%
38.6%
P3
39.8%
38.2%
OT
38.9%
31.6%
Final 5 min
42.5%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
38.7%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%