Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.9% vs Strome 58.3% (-19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 56.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 50.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.4%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Mercer
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mercer
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mercer
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
56.4% (890)
-17.6%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
66.9% (311)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
41.7% (12)
+12.8%
On power play, Strome has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Strome is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Mercer
Strome
Home
35.2% (145)
55.7% (627)
Away
43.2% (146)
62.5% (586)
By Period
Mercer
Strome
P1
32.7%
61.7%
P2
42.7%
55.7%
P3
42.9%
60.1%
Final 5 min
39.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |