Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Mercer wins 39.9% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Compher 47.8% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Mercer 92.6%
Defensive zone
Mercer 73.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 80.2%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Mercer
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Mercer
Compher
Last 10: Mercer 2-8 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
3
2
Mercer
Compher
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
4
Mercer
Compher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
5
Mercer
Compher
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
48.6% (5,743)
-9.5%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
52.6% (682)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
41.9% (1,426)
-0.6%
On power play, Compher has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Mercer is 39.9% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Mercer shoots right. Compher is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,200).
Home / Away
Mercer
Compher
Home
40.1% (756)
49.0% (3,917)
Away
38.5% (792)
46.6% (3,934)
By Period
Mercer
Compher
P1
38.2%
49.0%
P2
39.2%
47.2%
P3
41.2%
47.4%
OT
0.0%
40.2%
Final 5 min
39.6%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |