Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +22.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.9% vs Miller 60.3% (-22.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 52.1%
Defensive zone
Miller 63.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 52.0%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Mercer
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Mercer
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
62.0% (582)
-23.2%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
65.9% (126)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.7% (71)
+3.8%
On power play, Miller has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Mercer
Miller
Home
35.2% (145)
63.0% (416)
Away
43.2% (146)
60.1% (363)
By Period
Mercer
Miller
P1
32.7%
60.7%
P2
42.7%
63.9%
P3
42.9%
60.2%
Final 5 min
39.2%
64.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |