Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 39.9% vs right-shot opponents — Armia shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Armia 36.7% (+8.7%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 53.1%
Defensive zone
Mercer 52.8%
Neutral zone
Mercer 54.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Mercer
Armia
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Armia
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
31.6% (174)
+7.5%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
25.0% (8)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
27.0% (37)
+14.3%
On power play, Mercer has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Armia shoots right. Mercer is 39.9% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Mercer shoots right. Armia is 26.2% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Mercer
Armia
Home
40.1% (756)
32.6% (95)
Away
38.5% (792)
29.0% (124)
By Period
Mercer
Armia
P1
38.2%
33.3%
P2
39.2%
30.1%
P3
41.2%
28.6%
Final 5 min
39.6%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Armia
38.0%▲
30.0%
30.6%