Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Greenway shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.9% vs Greenway 44.6% (+12.5%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 57.8%
Defensive zone
Greenway 60.7%
Neutral zone
Mercer 53.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Mercer
Greenway
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Greenway
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
21.1% (19)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
36.4% (11)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greenway shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Greenway is 18.2% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
Mercer
Greenway
Home
35.2% (145)
30.0% (10)
Away
43.2% (146)
25.0% (20)
By Period
Mercer
Greenway
P1
32.7%
0.0%
P2
42.7%
16.7%
P3
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Greenway
26.0%▼
30.5%
26.7%