Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +39.2% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.9% vs Kapanen 49.0% (+39.2%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.8%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 55.5%
Neutral zone
Mercer 58.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Mercer
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
0.0% (2)
+38.8%
On even strength, Mercer has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Mercer is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Mercer
Kapanen
Home
35.2% (145)
0.0% (1)
Away
43.2% (146)
0.0% (1)
By Period
Mercer
Kapanen
P2
42.7%
0.0%
P3
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
0.0%