Dawson Mercer vs Mikael Granlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Mercer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Granlund 48.6% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Mercer leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 64.5%
Defensive zone
Granlund 80.9%
Neutral zone
Granlund 63.0%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Mercer
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Mercer
Granlund
Last 10: Mercer 6-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
5
0
Mercer
Granlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
6
Mercer
Granlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
48.6% (6,765)
-9.5%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
53.0% (760)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
43.6% (635)
-2.3%
On power play, Granlund has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,967).
Home / Away
Mercer
Granlund
Home
40.1% (756)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
38.5% (792)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
Mercer
Granlund
P1
38.2%
48.8%
P2
39.2%
48.7%
P3
41.2%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
43.3%
Final 5 min
39.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |