Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.9% vs Danault 54.5% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 65.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 77.0%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.0%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Mercer
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Mercer
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
56.2% (745)
-17.4%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
45.1% (51)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
51.6% (124)
+2.9%
On even strength, Danault has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Mercer
Danault
Home
35.2% (145)
56.7% (402)
Away
43.2% (146)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Mercer
Danault
P1
32.7%
55.5%
P2
42.7%
54.2%
P3
42.9%
55.2%
Final 5 min
39.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |