Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Blueger 50.0% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Blueger leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Mercer 96.6%
Defensive zone
Mercer 64.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 81.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Mercer
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Mercer
Blueger
Last 10: Mercer 2-8 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
3
1
Mercer
Blueger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
4
Mercer
Blueger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
5
Mercer
Blueger
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
52.2% (3,582)
-13.1%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
50.6% (77)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
42.7% (1,103)
-1.4%
On even strength, Blueger has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Blueger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,529).
Home / Away
Mercer
Blueger
Home
40.1% (756)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
38.5% (792)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Mercer
Blueger
P1
38.2%
49.2%
P2
39.2%
52.2%
P3
41.2%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |