Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Malgin wins 39.8% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 40.8% vs Sourdif 45.6% (-5.7%)
Offensive zone
Malgin 72.1%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 76.6%
Neutral zone
Malgin 59.3%
Result
Denis Malgin favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Malgin
Sourdif
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (535)
44.3% (585)
-5.4%
Power Play
42.9% (28)
50.0% (24)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
61.5% (13)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Malgin is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Malgin shoots right. Sourdif is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Malgin
Sourdif
Home
37.4% (273)
43.6% (321)
Away
40.9% (298)
46.2% (301)
By Period
Malgin
Sourdif
P1
37.2%
41.9%
P2
39.0%
44.3%
P3
40.7%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.2%
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%