Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malgin wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 40.8% vs Zacha 49.2% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malgin 60.9%
Defensive zone
Malgin 50.3%
Neutral zone
Malgin 56.8%
Result
Denis Malgin favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Malgin
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Malgin
Zacha
Last 7: Malgin 3-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Malgin
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Malgin
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (535)
48.9% (5,156)
-10.0%
Power Play
42.9% (28)
55.7% (813)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
42.2% (557)
+7.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Malgin is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Malgin shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Home / Away
Malgin
Zacha
Home
37.4% (273)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
40.9% (298)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Malgin
Zacha
P1
37.2%
49.9%
P2
39.0%
49.2%
P3
40.7%
48.2%
OT
100.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
43.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.2%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Denis Malgin |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Denis Malgin |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |