Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Malgin on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Malgin wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 40.8% vs Plekanec 50.1% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 65.2%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 93.8%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 78.0%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 78.3%
21.7%
78.3%
Malgin
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Malgin
Plekanec
Last 9: Malgin 6-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malgin
1
0
Malgin
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Malgin
Plekanec
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malgin
5
2
Malgin
Plekanec
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (535)
50.8% (8,558)
-11.9%
Power Play
42.9% (28)
51.3% (1,151)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.0% (1,924)
+4.0%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Malgin is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Malgin shoots right. Plekanec is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,678).
Home / Away
Malgin
Plekanec
Home
37.4% (273)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
40.9% (298)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Malgin
Plekanec
P1
37.2%
52.5%
P2
39.0%
48.9%
P3
40.7%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
43.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.2%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Denis Malgin |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Denis Malgin |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |