Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Kunin 46.1% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 72.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 91.9%
Neutral zone
Grant 86.7%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Grant
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Grant
Kunin
Last 6: Grant 5-1 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Kunin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Kunin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Kunin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
47.0% (1,667)
+6.7%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
46.0% (139)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
40.3% (335)
+5.7%
On power play, Grant has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Kunin is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,537).
Home / Away
Grant
Kunin
Home
54.3% (1,956)
45.4% (1,075)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
46.4% (1,066)
By Period
Grant
Kunin
P1
51.1%
47.7%
P2
51.5%
45.7%
P3
54.3%
44.1%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |