Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Beniers 46.6% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 55.3%
Defensive zone
Grant 92.7%
Neutral zone
Grant 85.9%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Grant
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Grant
Beniers
Last 5: Grant 4-1 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Beniers
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
46.5% (3,825)
+7.2%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
47.8% (360)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
41.4% (111)
+4.6%
On power play, Grant has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,839).
Home / Away
Grant
Beniers
Home
54.3% (1,956)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
44.0% (2,101)
By Period
Grant
Beniers
P1
51.1%
47.2%
P2
51.5%
47.0%
P3
54.3%
45.7%
OT
35.7%
34.8%
Final 5 min
54.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Derek Grant |