Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Dowd 53.3% (-5.1%)
Offensive zone
Grant 64.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 58.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Grant
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
55.4% (771)
-6.3%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
57.1% (7)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
45.5% (165)
-0.2%
On power play, Grant has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Grant
Dowd
Home
49.8% (223)
58.2% (462)
Away
47.2% (197)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Grant
Dowd
P1
43.9%
55.6%
P2
49.7%
50.5%
P3
51.4%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%