Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Aho 51.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 85.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 80.2%
Neutral zone
Grant 55.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 85.7%
14.3%
85.7%
Grant
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Grant
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Grant
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
48.5% (778)
+8.0%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
63.4% (191)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
50.8% (65)
-2.3%
On even strength, Grant has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Grant
Aho
Home
60.3% (257)
51.3% (530)
Away
49.6% (236)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Grant
Aho
P1
54.7%
50.0%
P2
54.0%
51.3%
P3
57.1%
52.1%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |