Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Nosek 53.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 76.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 51.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 63.8%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Grant
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Grant
Nosek
Last 10: Grant 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
1
Grant
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
4
3
Grant
Nosek
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
54.9% (2,710)
-1.2%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
45.8% (48)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
47.2% (428)
-1.2%
On power play, Grant has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Grant
Nosek
Home
54.3% (1,956)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Grant
Nosek
P1
51.1%
52.2%
P2
51.5%
54.1%
P3
54.3%
54.7%
OT
35.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |