Derek MacKenzie vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 87.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 63.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 79.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
Last 10: MacKenzie 1-9 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
6
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
1
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
4
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
46.1% (11,264)
+8.8%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
53.2% (1,421)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
42.8% (502)
+3.9%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
Home
54.0% (2,527)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
P1
51.9%
47.4%
P2
53.0%
46.6%
P3
54.0%
46.1%
OT
65.7%
48.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |