Derek MacKenzie vs Ryan Carpenter
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.8% vs Carpenter 50.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 55.4%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 55.5%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 58.8%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
MacKenzie
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKenzie
Carpenter
Last 5: MacKenzie 3-2 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
MacKenzie
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (438)
48.4% (314)
+7.3%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
60.0% (5)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (162)
57.0% (79)
-15.6%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
MacKenzie shoots left. Carpenter is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Carpenter
Home
51.3% (312)
55.8% (197)
Away
52.9% (293)
44.8% (201)
By Period
MacKenzie
Carpenter
P1
50.5%
48.3%
P2
48.8%
47.8%
P3
57.4%
54.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2018 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |