Derek MacKenzie vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 69.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 64.7%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 59.9%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
MacKenzie
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKenzie
Carpenter
Last 5: MacKenzie 3-2 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
MacKenzie
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
49.6% (2,027)
+5.3%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
41.5% (41)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
43.9% (467)
+2.8%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Carpenter
Home
54.0% (2,527)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
MacKenzie
Carpenter
P1
51.9%
49.6%
P2
53.0%
47.7%
P3
54.0%
48.0%
OT
65.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2018 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |