Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 53.7%). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Nosek 53.6% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 51.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 55.2%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 52.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
MacKenzie
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
54.9% (2,710)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
45.8% (48)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
47.2% (428)
-0.5%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Nosek
Home
54.0% (2,527)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
MacKenzie
Nosek
P1
51.9%
52.2%
P2
53.0%
54.1%
P3
54.0%
54.7%
OT
65.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%