Scouting Report
Henrik Zetterberg holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zetterberg on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zetterberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Zetterberg 50.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Zetterberg leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 59.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 60.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.3%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Roy
Zetterberg
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
19
(32 meetings)
13
19
Roy
Zetterberg
Last 10: Roy 2-8 Zetterberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
4
6
Roy
Zetterberg
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Roy
Zetterberg
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
3
7
Roy
Zetterberg
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Zetterberg
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
49.7% (6,482)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
54.0% (1,254)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
49.4% (249)
-2.6%
On even strength, Zetterberg has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zetterberg shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Zetterberg is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,164).
Home / Away
Roy
Zetterberg
Home
49.5% (1,982)
52.4% (3,995)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
48.5% (4,013)
By Period
Roy
Zetterberg
P1
47.6%
49.0%
P2
46.2%
51.0%
P3
48.5%
50.6%
OT
43.1%
60.1%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Zetterberg
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 00:09 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |