Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Eller 50.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 66.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 71.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 60.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Roy
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Roy
Eller
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
1
Roy
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
4
Roy
Eller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
2
Roy
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
51.1% (10,321)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
52.8% (621)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
46.6% (1,759)
+0.2%
On even strength, Eller has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Roy
Eller
Home
49.5% (1,982)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Roy
Eller
P1
47.6%
51.2%
P2
46.2%
50.1%
P3
48.5%
50.2%
OT
43.1%
56.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |