Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Result
Derek Roy favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Roy
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Roy
Ribeiro
Last 10: Roy 6-4 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Ribeiro
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
2
Roy
Ribeiro
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
42.9% (4,887)
+3.5%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
45.6% (930)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
33.3% (147)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
Roy
Ribeiro
Home
49.5% (1,982)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Roy
Ribeiro
P1
47.6%
42.6%
P2
46.2%
44.3%
P3
48.5%
41.8%
OT
43.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 01:18 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 10, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |