Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.0%). Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Miller 54.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 59.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 65.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 59.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Ryan
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
18
(34 meetings)
16
18
Ryan
Miller
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
6
9
Ryan
Miller
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
6
7
Ryan
Miller
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
2
Ryan
Miller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
55.3% (6,690)
+1.3%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
58.0% (1,289)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
48.4% (919)
-0.6%
On power play, Miller has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Home / Away
Ryan
Miller
Home
56.2% (2,559)
56.0% (4,622)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
53.8% (4,276)
By Period
Ryan
Miller
P1
55.1%
54.8%
P2
54.7%
55.7%
P3
56.0%
54.1%
OT
58.3%
62.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 19, 2021 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |