Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Dickinson 49.5% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 77.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 51.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 67.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Ryan
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
51.5% (695)
+9.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.5% (11)
+45.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
42.4% (210)
+9.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Dickinson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Ryan
Dickinson
Home
64.2% (137)
53.6% (489)
Away
55.8% (113)
44.7% (427)
By Period
Ryan
Dickinson
P1
58.9%
47.7%
P2
62.8%
52.1%
P3
59.3%
47.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |