Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Ek 47.8% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 24-21 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 61.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 69.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Ryan
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
21
(45 meetings)
24
21
Ryan
Ek
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
6
15
Ryan
Ek
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
13
2
Ryan
Ek
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
4
Ryan
Ek
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
47.5% (6,717)
+9.1%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
55.1% (1,500)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
40.3% (1,176)
+7.5%
On even strength, Ryan has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Ek is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,256).
Home / Away
Ryan
Ek
Home
56.2% (2,559)
48.6% (4,644)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
47.0% (4,749)
By Period
Ryan
Ek
P1
55.1%
46.8%
P2
54.7%
49.5%
P3
56.0%
46.7%
OT
58.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |